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Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Posted on: January 6, 2011 8:35 am
Edited on: January 7, 2011 11:14 am
 
Posted by Andy Benoit

CBSSports.com's patented and award-winning 7-point playoff preview gets you ready for each and every playoff game. And as an added bonus, check out our playoff podcast preview:



1. New York Jets (No. 6, AFC, 11-5) @ Indianapolis Colts (No. 3, AFC, 10-6)

Rex Ryan is getting yet another crack at a legendary quarterback who is 5-0 all-time against him (counting Ryan’s days as the Ravens defensive coordinator…and NOT counting the Week 16 Curtis Painter Game from last year). Ryan calls his matchup with Peyton Manning “personal” – almost like it’s a foot fetish issue or something. Or maybe by “personal” Ryan means that he takes the losses personal (yeah…probably that one). In that case, someone can inform Ryan that Manning isn’t making it personal – he tries to exploit the holes of every opposing coach’s system.

2. PLAYOFFS?! Watchability Ranking (On a scale of 5 'Jim Mora Faces')



AFC Championship rematch? Definitely worthy of primetime slot and 5/5 Jim Mora Faces. (And any game that follows an NFC West-related game is going to naturally look great by comparison.)

3. Key Matchup to Watch: Jets DB's Drew Coleman & Dwight Lowery vs. Colts Blair White & Jacob Tamme

The winner of this weakness-on-weakness matchup could very well determine the outcome of the game. About 10 seconds after they learned they were playing the Colts, the Jets announced that shutdown cornerback Darrelle Revis would shadow 111-catch wideout Reggie Wayne. In the past, Manning has had no problem going elsewhere with the ball when Wayne is bracketed by safety help or facing a superstar cover artist.

Manning’s No. 2 option Saturday is Pierre Garcon, though Jets cornerback Antonio Cromartie poses a tough challenge. Cromartie does not have the physicality or technique to grind with the über-strong Garcon, but his lanky 6’2” frame and ball skills give him lethal playmaking prowess. Manning knows all about that playmaking prowess – he’s been picked off four times by the ex-Charger (three coming in an ’07 Sunday night contest).

And so we get to Manning’s third read: wideout Blair White or tight end Jacob Tamme (depending on the formation). Both are better options than you’d guess but, of course, worse options than their injured predecessors (Austin Collie and Dallas Clark). What makes White’s and Tamme’s wild card contributions significant is that the Jets ancillary pass defenders have struggled mightily at times this season. The 45-3 shellacking from the Patriots, for example, was a product of Tom Brady throwing repeatedly to whichever receiver New York’s backup corners lined up against. That said, White and Tamme are not as dynamic as Deion Branch and Aaron Hernandez.

As defensive backs go, Coleman and Lowery are both very good blitzers. Though he hasn’t done so nearly as often this season, perhaps Ryan will elect to gamble. Manning, however, is revered around the league for his ability to punish a blitz (he has mastered “the little things”). In all likelihood, the Jets are going to have to rely on their backup defenders winning their man-to-man matchups. Ironically (and fortunately), those matchups are against Indy’s backups.

4. Potentially Relevant Video

There is a certain video involving a certain member of the Jets coaching staff circulating around the internet these days, but at some we have to commit to having maturity and class. So, we’ll pass along something else. Because interceptions were a bit of a bugaboo for Indy’s quarterback this season, and because this game (like all playoff games….and all games in general) will probably come down to turnovers, we’re going with The Manning Face.



5. The Colts will win if ...

Their defense can hold an opponent to 80 yards rushing or less for a fourth straight game. In fact, keeping the Jets’ sixth-ranked rushing attack under 125 yards would probably do the trick.

6. The Jets will win if ...

They can maintain a simplistic, ball-control oriented gameplan for Mark Sanchez. Doing that involves playing for field position, keeping the score close by limiting the Colts’ possessions early and banking on at least one big play (think Brad Smith kick return, Santonio Holmes catch-and-run or a turnover that leads to immediate points).

7. Prediction: Colts 24, Jets 17
Comments

Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 12, 2012 12:06 am
 

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 10, 2012 11:26 am
 

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 6, 2012 1:31 am
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Since: Dec 2, 2011
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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 9, 2011 6:53 pm
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Since: Dec 29, 2008
Posted on: January 10, 2011 4:09 pm
 

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

How did that prediction work out for ya makersmonkey?   Next time know what youre talking about before you call me out.  GO STEELERS!



Since: Jan 8, 2011
Posted on: January 8, 2011 4:37 pm
 

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Boclear - I've never had reason to respond to a comment before, but part of yours was so off base, I needed to correct it.  You said Manning has problems with physical teams - Not exactly.  Then you listed several teams, the Ravens among them.  Manning OWNS the Baltimore Ravens.  31-3?  That's a joke.  EVERYONE has problems with Pittsburg - and Manning threw for something like 370+ yards against the J-E-T-S in last year's playoffs.  The Steelers are in a class of their own on D - I will own up to that in a heartbeat - but Manning doesn't have issues again physical teams, Manning has problems against teams that, you know, have the #1 D in the league - not the Jets.  Colts 31 Jets 20



Since: Dec 29, 2008
Posted on: January 8, 2011 1:52 pm
 

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

The media loves this guy.  But he just doesnt step up in the playoffs.  HE is 1-5 in wild card games.  Thats not what you call a gamer haha



Since: Aug 25, 2006
Posted on: January 8, 2011 1:11 pm
 

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

BTW, Indy against the Jets in a Dome could go either way.  But Peyton stands no chance going against the Steelers D outside in the cold.



Since: Aug 25, 2006
Posted on: January 8, 2011 1:09 pm
 

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Change "Peyton Manning will do what he does to every other team" to "Peyton Manning will do what he does to AFC South opponents and against weak/mediocre defenses in regular season games while playing inside of a Dome or in a warm weather stadium." 

Honestly, will the media ever point out how he plays in the playoffs and how he plays against good defenses-- especially outdoors in real weather.  Dan Marino and John Elway never got this kind of softball treatment by the media in the 80's.  Joe Montana was pretty much unanimously picked over them.  If the media had a clue (or at least didn't have some obligation to praise the NFL's poster boy) we'd have much more intelligent discussions of the quarterback situation, as we did in the 80's, instead of this Manning love affair that is completely devoid of facts and completely ignores relevant statistical and situational analyses. 


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