Blog Entry

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview

Posted on: January 13, 2011 1:24 am
Edited on: January 13, 2011 12:29 pm
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Posted by Andy Benoit



CBSSports.com's patented and award-winning 7-point preview gets you ready for each and every playoff game. As an added bonus, check out our playoff podcast preview:



1. New York Jets (No. 6, AFC, 12-5) @ New England Patriots (No. 1, AFC, 14-2)

The regular season’s undisputed champion begins the final chapter for a fourth Lombardi Trophy by hosting the preseason’s self-proclaimed undisputed champion. The Jets are responsible for one of the Patriots’ two losses on the season (Week 2 at the New Meadowlands), though revenge was already administered by the Pats in that 45-3 November Monday night thumping.

Still, you can bet the Patriots will come out focused and hungry (or with something to prove or with a chip on their shoulder or whatever hollow cliché you prefer). These AFC East foes both know their opponent and, after the Jets stifled the Colt offense by refusing to blitz Peyton Manning, are capable of debuting a freshly-minted, never-before-seen gameplan for this decisive rubber match.

2. PLAYOFFS?! Watchability Ranking



On the field, the Patriots are the most interesting team in football once again. Off the field, the Jets are, so it's a near-miss Five Mora Face ranking.

3. Key Matchup to Watch: Jets run offense vs. Patriots run defense

In that Monday night thrashing, Tom Brady carved up the Jets by exploiting their iffy nickel and dime backs (Drew Coleman and Dwight Lowery). Confident and fond of his defense as he may be, Rex Ryan knows that the best way to slow Brady this time will be to keep him off the field (just like the Jets did during the second half against Manning).

You control the ball by running. The Jets stayed on the ground 38 times for 169 yards at Indianapolis. Of course, there is a considerable difference between running against the undersized Colts front seven and running against the oversized unit of the Patriots. Normally, the Patriots prefer to align Vince Wilfork in the opponent’s favorite run gap. Against the Jets, that would mean putting the “325-pounder” at left defensive end. Of course, the Jets may be less inclined to follow their usual “run to the right” formula now that tackle Damien Woody is on IR.

For matchup purposes, Bill Belichick may be tempted to put Wilfork outside so as to capitalize on the mismatch against Woody’s replacement, Wayne Hunter. Hunter is a superb athlete but he hasn’t always shown consistent raw power. However, Mike Wright and Ron Brace’s trips to injured reserve depleted New England’s depth up front. Veteran end Gerard Warren has been a decent starter alongside rotating rookies Brandon Deaderick (seventh-round pick), Kyle Love (undrafted) and Landon Cohen (undrafted), but with these men starting, the Patriots have been less variegated with their front-three looks.

If Wilfork remains at nose tackle, expect the Jets to run away from him – i.e. outside. Because tight end Dustin Keller is a glorified slot receiver (not unlike New England’s Aaron Hernandez), Brian Schottenheimer may be inclined to bring Robert Turner off the bench for more six-man offensive line formations. Even if the Jets can win in the trenches, their running backs still must make plays against the athletic Patriot linebackers. Usually Nick Mangold is at the second level to help pave a path, but Wilfork will give him more to deal with than most nose tackles.

Beating New England’s linebackers is a tall order for the Jets runners. LaDainian Tomlinson is coming off his best career playoff game, but neither he nor Shonn Greene has the quickness and elusiveness to make a beast like Jerod Mayo miss.

4. Potentially Relevant Video

For all the denigration of the Jets after the Sal Alosi episode, you might want to take a look at this seven-year old video of Bill Belichick’s crafty sideline ploy against Marvin Harrison.



5. The Jets will win if ...

Mark Sanchez (the franchise’s all-time winningest postseason quarterback, believe it or not) is more accurate than he was last week. That’s not all, of course (not even close). New York must bog down in the red zone (figure they won’t be able to prevent Brady and company from racking up yards between the 20s) and shift field position at least twice (via special teams or a forced turnover).

6. The Patriots will win if ...

Brady gets in his usual rhythm working out of the shotgun spread (a formation that naturally limits the presnap disguises that Ryan’s defense is built around).

7. Prediction: Patriots 31, Jets 20



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Comments

Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 10, 2012 7:33 pm
 

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview

A range of appreciate it for one's individual the responses. Which was definitively powerful. Allow the you think about the functions Packers Super Bowl Jersey released.




Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 10, 2012 6:29 pm
 

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview



dsfjwerw
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 5, 2012 9:40 pm
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dsfjwerw
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 5, 2012 8:31 pm
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jhfgdters
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 9, 2011 3:04 pm
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Since: Nov 14, 2009
Posted on: January 16, 2011 12:54 pm
 

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview

Ahab wins...whale gets carved up



Since: Oct 2, 2006
Posted on: January 16, 2011 11:48 am
 

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview

A large art of the reason there is the belief that defense wins chamionships(which is very overstated and oversimplified) is that it is hard for a lot of elite offenses to perform at the same level in bad weather. The patriots put up 33 in a half in it and have showed they can move the ball and score regardless of weather. Against the top 4 scoring defenses in the NFL, the Patriots have put up 39(14.5ppg allowed),
31(15), 23(16.9), and 36(17.9).

The Patriots defense, which admittedly was questionable early in the year has really started to step up and is 8th in points allowed now.

Also, the Patriots beat the steelers handily last time they faced, putting up 39 against that defense already, and I'm not sure how you can claim that's irrelevant. While every team steps it up in the playoffs, that includes the Patriots, and Tom Brady is 8-1 at home in the playoffs.

I believe(assuming the Patriots beat the Jets first; nothing is a given), the Patriots will beat the Steelers, and if they get off to a fast enough start, could win it pretty decisively. Any team can beat any other team, so that's obviously not guaranteed, but to say either team in this matchup this week doesn't have a shot against the Steelers is ridculous.



Since: Jan 13, 2007
Posted on: January 16, 2011 10:49 am
 

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview

I hope the pats beat the living s*** out of the jets today,they are all loud mouths like their stupid coach,maybe they need to take a lesson from the late Paul Brown..."When you win say little,when you lose say less",there is nothing good about the whole state of New York let alone the city,Go pats !Laughing



Since: Aug 25, 2006
Posted on: January 16, 2011 10:11 am
 

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview

Four games, four flyers knocked out. 3 flocks of birds and a fleet of planes that haven't won anything since the 60s (yup - not since before the AFL-NFL merger). The championship game matchups will make this a "No Fly League".
Except, I have a sneaking suspicion that the Hawks will spoil this party....



Since: Feb 6, 2007
Posted on: January 16, 2011 9:36 am
 

Patriots vs. Jets: 7-Point Divisional Preview

Based on that video, I guess Hoody Bill could throw a block... maybe Rex Ryan was right... it may be a personal battle from the sidelines on Sunday...


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